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cff-version: 1.2.0
message: "If you use this software, please cite the paper below."
title: "Uncertainty-Aware AI: Conformal Prediction versus Reinforcement Learning for Optimal Trade Execution"
abstract: >-
Reference implementation and reproducibility package for a study of
VWAP-benchmarked optimal trade execution. A normalised split-conformal
predictor of next-interval returns is used as an explicit gate on execution
decisions: the policy acts on the forecast only when its magnitude exceeds
kappa times the conformal half-width, and otherwise tracks VWAP. Sweeping
kappa traces a monotone cost-risk frontier, reducing the variance of
execution cost at almost no cost in the mean, and more reproducibly than a
multi-seed PPO agent.
type: software
version: "1.0.0"
license: MIT
doi: "10.5281/zenodo.22137734"
date-released: 2026-08-28
identifiers:
- type: doi
value: "10.5281/zenodo.22137734"
description: "Archived release on Zenodo"
repository-code: "https://github.com/Asadullah-Irshad/Conformal-VWAP-Execution"
url: "https://github.com/Asadullah-Irshad/Conformal-VWAP-Execution"
keywords:
- optimal trade execution
- VWAP
- conformal prediction
- uncertainty quantification
- reinforcement learning
- market microstructure
- reproducibility
authors:
- family-names: Irshad
given-names: Asadullah
affiliation: "DAIM, University of Hull, UK"
orcid: "https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5068-6404"
- family-names: Biswas
given-names: Shaon
affiliation: "DAIM, University of Hull, UK"
preferred-citation:
type: article
title: "Uncertainty-Aware AI: Conformal Prediction versus Reinforcement Learning for Optimal Trade Execution"
authors:
- family-names: Irshad
given-names: Asadullah
affiliation: "DAIM, University of Hull, UK"
orcid: "https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5068-6404"
- family-names: Biswas
given-names: Shaon
affiliation: "DAIM, University of Hull, UK"
journal: "Statistics, Optimization & Information Computing"
publisher:
name: "International Academic Press"
volume: 16
issue: 2
start: 1334
end: 1349
year: 2026
month: 8
issn: "2310-5070"
doi: "10.19139/soic-2310-5070-4159"
url: "https://iapress.org/index.php/soic/article/view/4159"