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Atisha56/README.md

Hi, I'm Atisha Karki


About Me

I am a finance professional with 2+ years of experience in financial modeling, risk analysis, investment research, and client-facing financial reporting. My work combines quantitative methods, statistical modeling, and applied macroeconomic research across financial risk, credit analysis, and wealth management.

Worked as a Graduate Research Assistant at Texas State University, where I build econometric and scenario models, conduct industry analysis using Bloomberg, FRED, and FactSet, and support faculty research and publications. Previously an Analyst – Credit & Financial Analysis at Citizens Bank International Limited, where I performed financial statement spreading and covenant compliance monitoring across 30+ corporate accounts, maintaining 100% data accuracy through SQL-based reporting pipelines.

I hold an MS in Quantitative Finance and Economics from Texas State University (May 2026). I also hold CFA Level I Candidate status with SIE passed, and am completing the FMVA certification (CFI). I was awarded 1st Place & People's Choice at the Ignite 3.0 Pitch Competition (2025).


Technical Stack

Python R SQL Excel Power BI Bloomberg NumPy Pandas Scikit-learn XGBoost C++


Research & Expertise

  • Machine Learning for Risk Prediction — Composite Fragility Score from network biomarkers across 10 S&P 500 sectors, lifting crash-prediction AUC from 0.645 to 0.726 using XGBoost.

  • Financial Modeling & Valuation — DCF and 3-statement modeling with scenario analysis across corporate finance and credit projects.

  • Quantitative Risk Simulation — GARCH(1,1) Monte Carlo VaR/ES estimation implemented in both R and C++ from first principles.

  • Time-Series & Panel Econometrics — ARFIMA-GARCH/APARCH volatility modeling, panel fixed-effects regression, and VAR/DCC-GARCH analysis across equity, energy, and cryptocurrency markets.

  • Sovereign & Credit Data Construction — Extracted and structured 20+ years of daily CDS spreads across 19 sovereign nations (Bloomberg) and macro indicator series (FRED) for credit risk research.


Featured Projects

Network-based crash prediction (XGBoost), bank failure contagion event study (Fama-French), panel econometrics & volatility modeling (U.S. energy sector), VAR/DCC-GARCH crypto market analysis, and a GARCH Monte Carlo risk simulation built from scratch in C++.

Independent credit analyses using SEC filings, Bloomberg, and DFAST-style stress testing — including a full credit memo and stress test on Southwest Airlines.

DCF valuation and 3-statement financial planning models built from SEC filings, including a Johnson & Johnson valuation finding 63% undervaluation under base-case assumptions.


Education & Certifications

  • MS in Quantitative Finance & Economics — Texas State University (GPA: 3.91/4.00) — May 2026
  • BBA, Finance — Tribhuvan University, Nepal (GPA: 3.95/4.00)
  • CFA® Level I Candidate
  • SIE® Passed
  • FMVA® — Corporate Finance Institute (in progress)
  • Bloomberg Market Concepts

Awards & Leadership

  • 1st Place & People's Choice — Ignite 3.0 Pitch Competition 2025 (30+ teams)

Currently

  • Open to Financial Analyst, Risk Analyst, Credit Analyst, and Quant Analyst roles
  • Based in Dallas, TX — open to remote and relocation

Connect

Email LinkedIn GitHub

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  1. credit-analysis-portfolio credit-analysis-portfolio Public

    Independent credit analyses using SEC filings, Bloomberg, and DFAST-style stress testing methodology to evaluate corporate and sovereign credit risk.

    Jupyter Notebook

  2. fpa-financial-modeling fpa-financial-modeling Public

    Financial planning, valuation, and forecasting models built using Excel and real SEC filings.

  3. quant-research-projects quant-research-projects Public

    Quantitative finance research: ML crash prediction, event studies, panel econometrics, and time-series volatility modeling.

    HTML