repo: fill the knockout data + cut scratch/noise for open-source

Make the tree read as finished (complete-or-remove, everything kept locally):

Fill:
- games/README.md: rebuild the Knockout (073-104) table with real matchups, correct
  fixture links, and final results (was 32x 'TBD' + 32 dead placeholder links)
- add the one missing game.md (101 Spain-France SF); now all 104 folders complete

Cut noise (git rm --cached + gitignore, kept on disk):
- predictions/: keep only the curated per-game baselines/; drop ~300 scratch dumps
- analysis/: generated daily/drift briefs (ops output)
- results/match_stats/: abandoned 6/104 enrichment (read by zero code); scrub its
  footnotes in 4 teams/*/stats.{json,md} + workflows/DAILY.md
- research/: curate to the polished studies + add research/README.md index; drop 7
  dated session-scratch snapshots

Professional polish:
- add CI (.github/workflows/ci.yml: pytest + validators + offline smoke) + README badge
- data/README.md: add a Data sources & attribution section

186 tests pass; validators 104/52/48 green; offline scoring clean.

Author: DataAthleteChamp

.github/workflows/ci.yml

@@ -0,0 +1,41 @@
+name: CI
+
+# Fast, self-contained checks: unit tests, data validators, and an offline scoring
+# smoke test. No secrets and no network access are required.
+on:
+  push:
+    branches: [main]
+  pull_request:
+  workflow_dispatch:
+
+jobs:
+  test:
+    runs-on: ubuntu-latest
+    permissions:
+      contents: read
+    steps:
+      - name: Checkout code
+        uses: actions/checkout@v5
+
+      - name: Set up Python
+        uses: actions/setup-python@v5
+        with:
+          python-version: "3.11"
+          cache: "pip"
+
+      - name: Install dependencies
+        run: |
+          python -m pip install --upgrade pip
+          pip install -r bot/requirements.txt
+
+      - name: Run unit tests
+        run: PYTHONPATH=. python -m pytest bot/tests -q
+
+      - name: Validate data (results · referees · team stats)
+        run: |
+          PYTHONPATH=. python scripts/validate_results.py
+          PYTHONPATH=. python scripts/validate_referee_stats.py
+          PYTHONPATH=. python scripts/validate_team_stats.py
+
+      - name: Offline scoring smoke test (no API key)
+        run: PYTHONPATH=. python -m bot run --offline --date 2026-06-11

.gitignore

@@ -22,13 +22,26 @@ data/footballdata/
 data/api_cache/
 data/players/player_sot_rates.json
 
-# Dry-run prediction run-dumps (ISO-timestamped); keep named files + baselines/
-predictions/*T*Z.jsonl
-predictions/*T*Z.md
-
-# Transient text->market_id fire maps (working artifacts)
+# Prediction scratch dumps (kept locally); only the curated per-game baselines are tracked
+predictions/*
+!predictions/baselines/
 predictions/baselines/**/_fire_map.json
 
+# Generated daily score/drift briefs (kept locally, not part of the public repo)
+analysis/
+
+# Abandoned per-game box-score enrichment (6/104; kept locally)
+results/match_stats/
+
+# Session-scratch research snapshots (superseded by results/RETROSPECTIVE.md; kept locally)
+research/INVESTIGATION_2026-07-01.md
+research/HEALTHCHECK.md
+research/STRATEGY_RESEARCH_2026-06-22.md
+research/LESSONS_R32_84-88.md
+research/API_DECISION.md
+research/EXPERIMENT_ROADMAP.md
+research/AUDIT_weaknesses.md
+
 # raw screenshot dump (curated subset lives in docs/results/)
 docs/results-screnshots/
 

README.md

@@ -11,6 +11,7 @@
   <img src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Peak-%2311-3FB950?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33" alt="Peak rank">
   <img src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Score-3%2C410.67-F4C430?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33" alt="Score">
   <img src="https://img.shields.io/badge/Beat%20crowd-67%25%20of%201%2C196-F4C430?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33" alt="Beat crowd">
+  <img src="https://img.shields.io/github/actions/workflow/status/DataAthleteChamp/probabilitycup-jumptrading/ci.yml?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33&label=CI" alt="CI">
   <img src="https://img.shields.io/badge/license-MIT-4FB6FF?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33" alt="License">
   <img src="https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.11-4FB6FF?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33" alt="Python">
   <img src="https://img.shields.io/badge/dry--run-by%20default-4FB6FF?style=flat-square&labelColor=0B1B33" alt="Dry-run by default">