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Scour Depth Prediction Using AI Modeling

ANN-PSO & SVM for Structural Integrity Assessment of Hydraulic Structures

📄 Published: Springer Nature Book Chapter
🏛️ Presented at: HYDRO 2024 International Conference, Central Water & Power Research Station, Pune (Dec 18–20, 2024)
🏫 Institution: Chaitanya Bharathi Institute of Technology, Hyderabad


Overview

This project applies two AI modeling techniques to predict scour depth around bridge piers under clear water scouring (CWS) conditions:

  • ANN-PSO (Artificial Neural Network with Particle Swarm Optimization)
  • SVM (Support Vector Machine)

Scour—the erosion of sediment around hydraulic structures—is a leading cause of bridge failure globally. The 2022 and 2023 collapse of the Aguwani-Sultanganj Bridge over the Ganga River highlighted the critical need for accurate scour prediction tools.


Key Results

Metric SVM ANN-PSO
MAPE 34.76% 20.25%
RMSE 0.521 0.496
0.5145 0.5654
Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency 0.620 0.708

ANN-PSO outperforms SVM across all metrics.


Dataset

  • 16 literature sources compiled (Ebrahimi, Khan, Chiew, Melville, Ettema, etc.)
  • Non-dimensional parameters: b/y, V/Vc, Frc, b/d₅₀, σg → ds/y
  • Split: 75% training / 25% testing

Methodology

  1. Data collection from published CWS experimental datasets
  2. Normalization of all input variables (0–1 range)
  3. ANN architecture: feed-forward backpropagation with PSO weight optimization
  4. SVM: high-dimensional hyperplane separation for regression
  5. Evaluation: MAPE, RMSE, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (E)

Tools & Technologies

Python MATLAB ANN PSO SVM Statistical Error Analysis


Reference

Cherishma P., Sreeya M., et al. (2024). Experimental Investigations and AI Modelling of Scouring Depths for Improved Structural Integrity. HYDRO 2024 International Conference. Springer Nature (Book Chapter).


Related

  • Grant: CBIT/PROJ-IH/I024/Civil/D002/2024 (CBIT Seed Research Grant)

About

ANN-PSO and SVM models for bridge pier scour depth prediction | HYDRO 2024 | Springer Book Chapter

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