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---
title: Document Info
reportDate: October 2026
reportType: Technical Reference
reportTitle: Concentrated Leak Erosion Common Methods Screening Technical Reference Manual
reportSubTitle: System Response Library
reportAuthors: ['Adam Gohs, P.E.']
reportAbstract: Technical reference documenting the methods shared by the eight concentrated leak erosion (CLE) screening models in the System Response library. Each model computes a system response probability (SRP) at each headwater level from an eight-node event tree that runs from a flaw through initiation, continuation, three progression conditions, intervention, and breach. This manual documents what the models have in common, namely the event-tree structure and node conventions, the risk-factor and likelihood-factor scoring used to estimate flaw probabilities, the two initiation treatments (a headwater gate at the bottom of an open crest crack, and a cylindrical-pipe hydraulic shear stress analysis for compaction flaws, with its shared critical shear stress table), the failure-pathway conventions that gate continuation, roof support, and flow limitation, and the nodal results the models report. The mechanism-specific flaw assessments are documented in each model's own manual.
reportSubjectTerms: ['CLE', 'Concentrated Leak Erosion', 'Screening', 'Event Tree', 'System Response Probability', 'System Response Curve', 'Risk Factor', 'Likelihood Factor', 'Critical Shear Stress', 'Cylindrical Pipe', 'Roof Support', 'Crack Filling', 'Flow Limitation', 'Monte Carlo']
citationGuide: 'U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Risk Management Center, <i>Concentrated Leak Erosion Common Methods Screening Technical Reference Manual</i>, Lakewood, CO: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Risk Management Center, 2026.'
---

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linkTitle="System Response Library"
document="web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening"
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# Document Information

<DocumentMetadata metadata={frontMatter} />
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---
title: Version History
---

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# Version History

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dates={['October 2026']}
descriptions={['Initial release.']}
modifiedBy={['-']}
reviewedBy={['-']}
approvedBy={['-']}
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---
title: Preface
---

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<NavContainer link="/web-applications/system-response" linkTitle="System Response Library" document="web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening" />

# Preface

This document provides a technical reference for the methods shared by the eight concentrated leak erosion (CLE) screening models in the System
Response library. Each model computes a system response probability (SRP) as a function of headwater elevation for one CLE mechanism: cross-valley
differential settlement, differential settlement adjacent to a wall or cliff, poor compaction within the core, poor compaction adjacent to a conduit,
poor compaction adjacent to a wall or cliff, poor compaction along the foundation or abutment contact, desiccation cracking at the crest, and frost
cracking at the crest. The models are screening-level: they apply simplifications intended to reduce input burden while avoiding false negatives, and
any application that performs screening-level risk analysis can use them.

The eight models differ in how they estimate the probability that a flaw exists and in where that flaw sits in the embankment. Everything else is
common to the family: the eight-node event tree and how each node is populated, the scoring scheme used to turn qualitative site factors into a flaw
probability, the two initiation treatments, the failure-pathway rules that decide which filter, materials, and upstream elements apply at each pool
level, and the form of the results. This manual documents those common methods once. Each model's own technical reference manual documents its flaw
assessment and its mechanism-specific inputs, and refers to this manual for the rest. The continuation (filter evaluation) node is evaluated by a
shared continuation method with its own manual, the Continuation (Filter Evaluation) Screening Technical Reference Manual; this manual documents only
when that method is applied.

The intended audience includes dam safety engineers evaluating whether the CLE screening models are appropriate for their assessment, and peer
reviewers checking the technical basis of screening-level results. Readers are assumed to have a general background in internal-erosion risk
analysis — event trees, concentrated leak erosion mechanics, and probability concepts — but no familiarity with the software implementation is
required.

## Document Organization

- **[Model Overview](./02-model-overview.mdx)** — The purpose and intended use of the CLE screening models, a summary of their common execution
pathway, their engineering basis, a comparison with detailed methods, the two groups the eight models fall into, and their relationship to the
toolbox methods.
- **[Common Input Parameters](./03-input-parameters.mdx)** — The inputs shared across the family: hydraulic loading, the units and datum
convention, the embankment description, the failure-pathway inputs, the upstream seepage-limiting elements, the initiation material inputs of the
compaction models, and the intervention and breach probabilities.
- **[Event Tree](./04-event-tree.mdx)** — The eight event-tree nodes, which nodes vary with pool level, how the headwater grid is formed, and how the
SRP is computed.
- **[Flaw Conventions](./05-flaw-conventions.mdx)** — The risk-factor and likelihood-factor scoring scheme, the optional flaw-continuity stage,
observation overrides, and the flaw elevation each model passes to the downstream nodes.
- **[Initiation](./06-initiation.mdx)** — The headwater gate used by the crest-crack models, and the cylindrical-pipe initiation analysis used by
the compaction models, with its critical shear stress and initial pipe diameter defaults.
- **[Failure Pathway and Progression](./07-failure-pathway-and-progression.mdx)** — How the failure pathway and any intersecting filter gate the
continuation and roof-support nodes, and how the crack-filling and flow-limitation nodes are evaluated.
- **[Assumptions and Limitations](./08-assumptions-and-limitations.mdx)** — Each common modeling assumption with its engineering basis, its effect
on results, and the conditions under which it may not hold.
- **[Output and Interpretation](./09-output-and-interpretation.mdx)** — The results the models produce, how to read the system response curve and
its node breakdown, and the role of screening results relative to detailed analysis.
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---
title: Model Overview
---

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<NavContainer link="/web-applications/system-response" linkTitle="System Response Library" document="web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening" />

# Model Overview

## Purpose

Each CLE screening model computes a system response curve for one concentrated leak erosion mechanism as a function of headwater elevation. The
system response probability (SRP) at each headwater level is the conditional probability of breach of the embankment by concentrated leak erosion
through a flaw of that mechanism, given that pool level. The curve of SRP values across the range of headwater levels characterizes the
embankment's vulnerability to the mechanism.

Concentrated leak erosion is erosion of the walls of an open crack, gap, or poorly compacted zone by water flowing through it. The failure mode
requires a continuous flaw through the embankment, a hydraulic shear stress on the flaw walls large enough to initiate erosion, an unfiltered exit
that lets the eroded soil leave the embankment, an enlarging pipe that stays open and is neither filled nor starved of flow, unsuccessful
detection and intervention, and finally an uncontrolled release of the impounded water.

## Intended Use

The CLE screening models are screening-level assessments of concentrated leak erosion risk. They make simplifying and generally conservative
assumptions with two goals:

- **Preventing false negatives** — The models are designed to avoid underestimating risk at the screening level, so that embankments with potential
concentrated leak erosion concerns are flagged for further analysis.
- **Reducing input burden** — Qualitative selections (compaction categories, climate categories, conduit and wall descriptions, the embankment
type) substitute for site-specific measurements, and default distributions cover the erodibility and initial-opening properties that are
typically unavailable at the screening stage.

The models are not intended for detailed or semi-quantitative risk assessments. For higher-level analyses, the full concentrated leak erosion
toolbox methods and the internal-erosion probability methods they draw on provide the complete methodologies with full parameterization (see
[Comparison with Detailed Models](#comparison-with-detailed-models)).

## How the Model Works

Every CLE screening model executes the same three stages:

1. **Flaw assessment** — The model estimates the probability that a continuous flaw of its mechanism exists through the embankment, and the
elevation of that flaw. The probability comes from scoring qualitative and geometric site factors (or, for cross-valley settlement, from a
settlement-based relationship), and an observation of the flaw — leakage, wet spots, or observed continuous cracking, depending on the model —
can override it to certainty. The flaw probability is the same at every pool level (see [Flaw Conventions](./05-flaw-conventions.mdx)).

2. **Pathway resolution** — The model resolves the failure pathway through the embankment at the flaw elevation: whether a filter intersects it
and where the filter's top lies, which materials must hold a roof over the enlarging pipe, and which upstream seepage-limiting elements still
reach the flaw (see [Failure Pathway and Progression](./07-failure-pathway-and-progression.mdx)).

3. **Event-tree assembly** — At each headwater level, the model composes the eight node probabilities and multiplies them to produce the SRP.
Initiation is either a gate on the headwater rising above the bottom of an open crest crack, or a Monte Carlo cylindrical-pipe analysis of the
hydraulic shear stress at the flaw (see [Initiation](./06-initiation.mdx) and [Event Tree](./04-event-tree.mdx)).

## Physics Basis

The family combines the following engineering methods:

- **Risk-factor and likelihood-factor scoring** for the probability of a continuous flaw, in which each site factor is assigned a likelihood
factor, weighted by a risk factor, and the weighted sum is mapped to a flaw probability <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" /> (see
[Flaw Conventions](./05-flaw-conventions.mdx))
- **Hydraulic shear stress on the walls of a cylindrical pipe** compared with the soil's critical shear stress for the initiation of erosion in a
compaction flaw, as documented in the
[Cylindrical Pipe](/docs/toolbox-technical-manuals/internal-erosion-suite/concentrated-leak-erosion-initiation/v1.0/cylindrical-pipe) chapter
of the Concentrated Leak Erosion Initiation manual
- **Roof-support probabilities by soil classification** for the ability of the enlarging pipe to stay open, and **crack-filling probabilities by
embankment type** for the chance that upstream material fills the pipe <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" />
- **Flow-limitation probabilities by upstream element** for the chance that a cutoff wall or upstream facing restricts the flow through the
flaw <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" />
- **Filter evaluation** for the probability that erosion continues past a filter intersecting the failure pathway, applied through the shared
continuation method documented in the Continuation (Filter Evaluation) Screening Technical Reference Manual and drawing on the
[Filter Evaluation (Continuation)](/docs/toolbox-technical-manuals/internal-erosion-suite/filter-evaluation-continuation/v1.0/general-overview)
toolbox methods

## Comparison with Detailed Models

The detailed counterparts of the screening models are the concentrated leak erosion toolbox methods and the internal-erosion probability methods
of Fell et al. (2024) <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" /> applied in full. The Concentrated Leak Erosion Initiation manual covers four flaw
geometries — a cylindrical pipe, a horizontal crack, a vertical rectangular crack, and a vertical triangular crack (see its
[General Overview](/docs/toolbox-technical-manuals/internal-erosion-suite/concentrated-leak-erosion-initiation/v1.0/general-overview)) — of
which the compaction models use the cylindrical pipe. <TableReference tableKey="cle-common-screening-table-1" /> summarizes the differences.

<TableVertical
tableKey="cle-common-screening-table-1"
alt="Comparison of the CLE screening models and the detailed methods"
caption="Comparison of the CLE screening models and the detailed methods."
headers={[[{ value: 'Aspect' }, { value: 'Screening Models' }, { value: 'Detailed Methods' }]]}
columns={[
[
'Purpose',
'Flaw probability',
'Initiation in a crest crack',
'Initiation in a compaction flaw',
'Critical shear stress',
'Initial opening size',
'Seepage path length',
'Progression',
],
[
'Screening-level risk assessment',
'Scored from qualitative site factors, with observation overrides',
'Certain once the headwater rises above the bottom of the crack',
'Cylindrical-pipe shear stress analysis only',
'Default range by soil classification; user may override',
'Default diameter range by mechanism; user may override',
'Derived from the embankment section at the flaw; user may override',
'Tabulated roof-support, crack-filling, and flow-limitation probabilities',
],
[
'Detailed risk analysis',
'Estimated by the risk team from the totality of the evidence',
'Shear stress analysis of the crack geometry',
'Cylindrical pipe or crack geometry (analyst selects)',
'Estimated from erodibility testing or correlations',
'Estimated from cracking analysis, with sensitivity analysis',
'Measured or specified by the analyst',
'Assessed by the risk team, informed by the same tables',
],
]}
/>

## The Two Model Groups

The eight models fall into two groups that share their flaw geometry and therefore their initiation treatment and their pathway rules
(<TableReference tableKey="cle-common-screening-table-2" />):

- **Crest-crack models** — cross-valley differential settlement, differential settlement adjacent to a wall or cliff, desiccation cracking, and
frost cracking. The flaw is a transverse crack open at the crest and extending down to a bottom-of-crack elevation. Every node is
deterministic except continuation, which the shared continuation method may evaluate by Monte Carlo simulation when a filter intercepts the
pathway (its route through the USCS classes of the base and filter soils samples their gradation parameters).
- **Compaction models** — poor compaction within the core, adjacent to a conduit, adjacent to a wall or cliff, and along the foundation or
abutment contact. The flaw is a zone of poorly compacted soil at a fixed base-of-flaw elevation, idealized for initiation as a cylindrical pipe.
Initiation is evaluated by Monte Carlo simulation, and continuation may be as well, by the same continuation route as the crest-crack models;
every other node is deterministic.

<TableVertical
tableKey="cle-common-screening-table-2"
alt="The eight CLE screening models, their flaw elevation, and their initiation treatment"
caption="The eight CLE screening models, the flaw elevation each passes to the downstream nodes, and the initiation treatment."
headers={[[{ value: 'Model' }, { value: 'Group' }, { value: 'Flaw elevation' }, { value: 'Initiation' }]]}
columns={[
[
'Cross-valley differential settlement',
'Settlement adjacent to a wall or cliff',
'Desiccation cracking at the crest',
'Frost cracking at the crest',
'Poor compaction within the core',
'Poor compaction adjacent to a conduit',
'Poor compaction adjacent to a wall or cliff',
'Poor compaction along the foundation or abutment',
],
['Crest crack', 'Crest crack', 'Crest crack', 'Crest crack', 'Compaction', 'Compaction', 'Compaction', 'Compaction'],
[
'Bottom of the crest crack',
'Bottom of the crest crack',
'Bottom of the crest crack',
'Bottom of the crest crack',
'Normal-pool heuristic, or the observed leakage elevation',
'Bottom of the conduit',
'Crest less the wall or cliff height',
'Foundation contact, or the normal-pool heuristic at an abutment',
],
[
'Headwater gate',
'Headwater gate',
'Headwater gate',
'Headwater gate',
'Cylindrical pipe',
'Cylindrical pipe',
'Cylindrical pipe',
'Cylindrical pipe',
],
]}
/>

The flaw elevation is the one flaw quantity every downstream node uses: it sets where initiation can begin, where the failure pathway runs, and
which filter and upstream elements the pathway meets. [Flaw Conventions](./05-flaw-conventions.mdx#flaw-elevation) documents how each model
resolves it.

## Relationship to Toolbox Models

The compaction models use the same cylindrical-pipe initiation analysis as the standalone Concentrated Leak Erosion Initiation toolbox. They
differ mainly in what they supply to it: the embankment section and flaw elevation come from the screening inputs, and the critical shear stress and
initial pipe diameter default to screening ranges that the user may replace. [Initiation](./06-initiation.mdx#delegated-method-cylindrical-pipe-initiation)
documents each supplied quantity and its basis. The crest-crack models use no toolbox method for initiation. All eight models hand the continuation node to the
shared continuation method whenever a filter intersects the failure pathway
(see [Failure Pathway and Progression](./07-failure-pathway-and-progression.mdx#node-3-continuation)).

<CitationFootnote />
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