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---
title: Document Info
reportDate: October 2026
reportType: Technical Reference
reportTitle: Concentrated Leak Erosion Core Compaction Screening Technical Reference Manual
reportSubTitle: System Response Library
reportAuthors: ['Adam Gohs, P.E.']
reportAbstract: Technical reference documenting the concentrated leak erosion (CLE) core compaction screening model in the System Response library. The model computes a system response probability (SRP) at each headwater level for concentrated leak erosion through a continuous zone of poorly compacted soil within the embankment core. The probability of the flaw is estimated by risk-factor and likelihood-factor scoring of the core compaction category, the width and width-to-height ratio of the embankment section, and borrow variability, followed by a flaw-continuity stage keyed to the compaction category; an observation of embankment leakage or wet spots overrides the flaw probability to certainty and sets the flaw elevation. Initiation is evaluated by a Monte Carlo cylindrical-pipe hydraulic shear stress analysis at the base of the flaw, and the remaining nodes of the eight-node CLE event tree follow the methods shared by the CLE screening family. The model applies simplifications appropriate for screening-level risk analysis.
reportSubjectTerms: ['CLE', 'Concentrated Leak Erosion', 'Core Compaction', 'Poor Compaction', 'Screening', 'Event Tree', 'System Response Probability', 'System Response Curve', 'Risk Factor', 'Likelihood Factor', 'Cylindrical Pipe', 'Critical Shear Stress', 'Monte Carlo']
citationGuide: 'U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Risk Management Center, <i>Concentrated Leak Erosion Core Compaction Screening Technical Reference Manual</i>, Lakewood, CO: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Risk Management Center, 2026.'
---

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# Document Information

<DocumentMetadata metadata={frontMatter} />
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---
title: Version History
---

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# Version History

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---
title: Preface
---

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<NavContainer link="/web-applications/system-response" linkTitle="System Response Library" document="web-applications/system-response/cle-core-compaction-screening" />

# Preface

This document provides a technical reference for the concentrated leak erosion (CLE) core compaction screening model in the System Response
library. The model computes a system response probability (SRP) as a function of headwater elevation for concentrated leak erosion through a
continuous zone of poorly compacted soil within the embankment core. It is a screening-level model: it applies simplifications intended to reduce
input burden while avoiding false negatives, and any application that performs screening-level risk analysis can use it.

The model is one of eight CLE screening models that share one event tree and most of their methods. Those shared methods are documented once, in
the [Concentrated Leak Erosion Common Methods Screening Technical Reference Manual](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/preface),
and the continuation node is evaluated by the shared method documented in the
[Continuation (Filter Evaluation) Screening Technical Reference Manual](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/continuation-screening/v1.0/preface).
This document covers what is specific to the core compaction mechanism: its flaw assessment, its mechanism-specific inputs, how it populates each
node of the shared event tree, the assumptions it adds, and the results it reports. Each section that relies on a shared method links the chapter
that documents it.

The intended audience includes dam safety engineers evaluating whether the model is appropriate for their assessment, and peer reviewers checking
the technical basis of screening-level results. Readers are assumed to have a general background in internal-erosion risk analysis — event trees,
concentrated leak erosion mechanics, and probability concepts — but no familiarity with the software implementation is required.

## Document Organization

- **[Model Overview](./02-model-overview.mdx)** — The model's purpose and intended use, a summary of its execution pathway from inputs to
results, its engineering basis, a comparison with detailed methods, and how it relates to the shared CLE methods and the toolbox methods.
- **[Input Parameters](./03-input-parameters.mdx)** — The mechanism-specific inputs (the normal pool elevation, the core compaction category, the
leakage observation and its elevation, and the optional flaw base width and height), and how the model takes each of the inputs it shares with
the CLE family.
- **[Flaw Assessment](./04-flaw-assessment.mdx)** — The three scored factors, the weighted sum and its flaw-probability curve, the flaw-continuity
stage, the resulting flaw probabilities, the observation override, and the base-of-flaw elevation.
- **[Event Tree](./05-event-tree.mdx)** — How the model populates each of the eight nodes, including the cylindrical-pipe initiation analysis and
the continuation method it delegates to, and how the SRP is computed.
- **[Assumptions and Limitations](./06-assumptions-and-limitations.mdx)** — Each assumption the model adds to the shared CLE assumptions, with its
engineering basis, its effect on results, and the conditions under which it may not hold.
- **[Output and Interpretation](./07-output-and-interpretation.mdx)** — The results the model produces, how to read the flaw assessment and the
system response curve, checks on a result, and the role of screening results relative to detailed analysis.
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---
title: Model Overview
---

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<NavContainer link="/web-applications/system-response" linkTitle="System Response Library" document="web-applications/system-response/cle-core-compaction-screening" />

# Model Overview

## Purpose

The CLE core compaction screening model computes a system response curve for concentrated leak erosion through a continuous zone of poorly
compacted soil within the embankment core, as a function of headwater elevation. The system response probability (SRP) at each headwater level is
the conditional probability of breach of the embankment by concentrated leak erosion along such a zone, given that pool level.

The flaw is a zone of poorly compacted soil that runs continuously through the core from the upstream face to the downstream face, so that water
from the reservoir can flow along it. The model idealizes the zone as a horizontal cylindrical pipe at a base-of-flaw elevation. Erosion begins when
the hydraulic shear stress of the flow on the pipe wall exceeds the critical shear stress of the core soil, and breach requires the further
conditions common to every concentrated leak erosion failure mode: an unfiltered exit, a pipe that stays open and is neither filled nor starved of
flow, unsuccessful intervention, and an uncontrolled release of the impounded water (see the
[Model Overview](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/model-overview#purpose) of the CLE Common Methods
manual).

## Intended Use

The model is a screening-level assessment of concentrated leak erosion through poorly compacted core material. Like the other CLE screening models,
it makes simplifying and generally conservative assumptions with two goals
(see [Intended Use](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/model-overview#intended-use) in the CLE Common
Methods manual):

- **Preventing false negatives** — The model is designed to avoid underestimating risk at the screening level, so that embankments with a
potential core compaction concern are flagged for further analysis.
- **Reducing input burden** — A qualitative core compaction category and the dimensions of the embankment section stand in for a detailed review of
construction records, and default distributions cover the critical shear stress of the core soil and the initial diameter of the flaw. Where the
compaction of the core is not known, the user selects Unknown rather than guessing.

The model is not intended for detailed or semi-quantitative risk assessments. For those, the concentrated leak erosion toolbox methods and the
internal-erosion probability methods of Fell et al. (2024) <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" /> provide the complete methodologies (see
[Comparison with Detailed Models](#comparison-with-detailed-models)).

## How the Model Works

The model executes three stages:

1. **Flaw assessment** — The model scores three factors: the core compaction category, the continuity of the embankment section (its base width and
its width-to-height ratio), and borrow variability, which is fixed. The weighted sum of the scores is converted to a raw flaw probability, which
is multiplied by a flaw-continuity probability keyed to the compaction category. The base of the flaw is placed one third of the way from the
normal pool to the crest. An observation of embankment leakage or wet spots replaces both results: the flaw probability becomes 1.0 and the base
of the flaw becomes the observed elevation. The flaw probability is the same at every pool level (see [Flaw Assessment](./04-flaw-assessment.mdx)).

2. **Pathway resolution** — The flaw is at one elevation, so the failure pathway is fixed: the user states whether a filter intercepts it by
supplying, or omitting, the filter and base-soil description, and lists the embankment materials the pipe passes through and the upstream
seepage-limiting elements present. A wall whose top is below the base of the flaw is set aside (see [Event Tree](./05-event-tree.mdx)).

3. **Event-tree assembly** — At each headwater level, the model multiplies the probabilities of the eight CLE event-tree nodes to produce the SRP.
Initiation is evaluated by a Monte Carlo cylindrical-pipe analysis of the hydraulic shear stress at the base of the flaw and is the only node that
varies with pool level; the other seven nodes are each one value (see [Event Tree](./05-event-tree.mdx)).

## Physics Basis

The model combines the following engineering methods:

- **Risk-factor and likelihood-factor scoring** for the probability that a continuous poorly compacted zone exists, in which each factor is
assigned a likelihood factor, weighted by a risk factor, and the weighted sum is mapped to a flaw probability <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" />
(see the [Risk-Factor and Likelihood-Factor Scoring](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/flaw-conventions#risk-factor-and-likelihood-factor-scoring)
section of the CLE Common Methods manual)
- **Hydraulic shear stress on the wall of a cylindrical pipe**, compared with the critical shear stress of the core soil, for the initiation of
erosion, as documented in the
[Cylindrical Pipe](/docs/toolbox-technical-manuals/internal-erosion-suite/concentrated-leak-erosion-initiation/v1.0/cylindrical-pipe) chapter
of the Concentrated Leak Erosion Initiation manual
- **Filter evaluation** for the probability that erosion continues past a filter intercepting the pathway, through the shared continuation method
documented in the
[Method Selection and Governing Base Soil](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/continuation-screening/v1.0/method-selection-and-governing-base-soil)
chapter and the method chapters of the Continuation (Filter Evaluation) Screening manual
- **Roof-support, crack-filling, and flow-limitation probabilities** for the progression conditions <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" />, as
documented in the
[Failure Pathway and Progression](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/failure-pathway-and-progression)
chapter of the CLE Common Methods manual

## Comparison with Detailed Models

The detailed counterparts of the screening model are the concentrated leak erosion toolbox methods and the internal-erosion probability methods of
Fell et al. (2024) <Citation citationKey="Fell2024" /> applied in full. The comparison that holds for the whole CLE family is given in
[Comparison with Detailed Models](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/model-overview#comparison-with-detailed-models)
in the CLE Common Methods manual. <TableReference tableKey="cle-core-compaction-screening-table-1" /> summarizes the differences specific to a core
compaction flaw.

<TableVertical
tableKey="cle-core-compaction-screening-table-1"
alt="Comparison of the core compaction screening model and the detailed methods"
caption="Comparison of the core compaction screening model and the detailed methods."
headers={[[{ value: 'Aspect' }, { value: 'Screening Model' }, { value: 'Detailed Methods' }]]}
columns={[
['Flaw probability', 'Flaw observed', 'Flaw elevation', 'Flaw geometry for initiation', 'Filter on the pathway'],
[
'Scored from the compaction category and the section geometry, with a fixed borrow-variability score',
'Leakage or wet spots set the flaw probability to 1.0',
'One third of the way from normal pool to crest, or the observed leakage elevation',
'Horizontal cylindrical pipe at the base of the flaw',
'User states filter presence; the shared screening filter evaluation gives one value at every pool level',
],
[
'Estimated by the risk team from the totality of the evidence',
'Weighed by the risk team with the other evidence',
'Specified by the analyst',
'Cylindrical pipe or crack geometry (analyst selects)',
'Full filter evaluation of the base and filter soils',
],
]}
/>

## Relationship to the Common Methods and Toolbox Models

The core compaction model is one of the four compaction models of the CLE family (see
[The Two Model Groups](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/model-overview#the-two-model-groups) in the CLE
Common Methods manual). It shares the following with the family, and this manual links the shared documentation rather than repeating it:

- **The eight-node event tree and the SRP computation** — the
[Event Tree](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/event-tree) chapter of the CLE Common Methods manual.
- **The scoring scheme, the flaw-continuity stage, and the normal-pool heuristic for the base of the flaw** — the
[Flaw Conventions](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/flaw-conventions) chapter.
- **The cylindrical-pipe initiation analysis**, which the model hands to the same method as the standalone Concentrated Leak Erosion Initiation
toolbox, supplying the base of the flaw, the embankment section, and default distributions for the critical shear stress and the initial pipe
diameter — the
[Delegated Method: Cylindrical Pipe Initiation](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/initiation#delegated-method-cylindrical-pipe-initiation)
section of the Initiation chapter.
- **The continuation, roof-support, crack-filling, and flow-limitation nodes** — the
[Failure Pathway and Progression](https://usace-rmc.github.io/RMC-Software-Documentation/docs/web-applications/system-response/cle-common-methods-screening/v1.0/failure-pathway-and-progression)
chapter, with the continuation method itself in the Continuation (Filter Evaluation) Screening manual.

What this manual documents in full is the flaw assessment ([Flaw Assessment](./04-flaw-assessment.mdx)), the mechanism-specific inputs
([Input Parameters](./03-input-parameters.mdx)), and the choices this model makes where the family allows more than one
([Event Tree](./05-event-tree.mdx)).

<CitationFootnote />
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