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Brazil Economic Intelligence

Executive economic-intelligence platform for monitoring Brazilian inflation, monetary conditions, exchange-rate pressure, market momentum and purchasing-power risk.

MVP features

  • Economic Health Score
  • IPCA accumulated over 12 months
  • Selic and USD/BRL monitoring
  • Ibovespa, gold and Brent comparison
  • Inflation block-bootstrap Monte Carlo
  • Future cost-of-living distribution
  • Purchasing-power analysis
  • Composite risk dashboard
  • Rule-based executive report
  • CSV and Markdown downloads
  • Automatic fallback to demonstration data

Data sources

Banco Central do Brasil SGS series 433, 1178 and 1; Yahoo Finance market data through yfinance.

Technology

Python, pandas, NumPy, Plotly, Streamlit, requests and yfinance.

Run locally

conda create -n brazil-economic python=3.11 -y
conda activate brazil-economic
pip install -r requirements.txt
python -m streamlit run app.py

Deploy

Push the repository to GitHub and deploy app.py on Streamlit Community Cloud using Python 3.11.

Methodology

The Monte Carlo module uses a historical block bootstrap of monthly IPCA observations. The Economic Health Score combines inflation, monetary, exchange-rate and equity-market risk.

Portfolio narrative

Developed an economic-intelligence platform integrating Brazilian macroeconomic and market data. Built executive KPIs, transparent risk scoring, Monte Carlo inflation simulations, purchasing-power scenarios and automated rule-based reporting using Python and Streamlit.

Educational portfolio project. It does not constitute financial, investment or economic advice.

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