base-rates

Here are 3 public repositories matching this topic...

MarvinRey7879 / honest-signals

Check detected chart patterns against the rate the market moves that way anyway, so you can see which signals carry any information at all. Lift over a pattern-free baseline with cluster-robust intervals -- never against 50%.

python cli statistics trading mcp confidence-intervals market-data quantitative-finance technical-analysis financial-data algorithmic-trading backtesting statistical-significance chart-patterns candlestick-patterns llm-tools agent-tools base-rates

Updated Jul 18, 2026
Jupyter Notebook

sTWOpid / temporal-intel

Star

A research tool that never shows an astrological match without its denominator. Every query returns all historical occurrences, the hit rate, and a control base rate. Verdict on Saturn-Pluto: 4/8 vs a 43% base rate - chance.

statistics astronomy methodology ephemeris astrology base-rates

Updated Jul 24, 2026
JavaScript

varunreddyGOPU / nq_stock_analysis

Star

NQ/Nasdaq-100 conditional base-rate research engine - honest statistics (n, CI, lift), no look-ahead, TDD-enforced. Telegram bot for interactive historical Q&A. Not a predictor.

python telegram-bot plotly quantitative-finance market-research backtesting duckdb nasdaq-100 base-rates

Updated Aug 30, 2026
Python

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