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monetary-economics

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An econometric analysis of the USD/GBP exchange rate using a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The study applies ADF unit root tests, Johansen cointegration, VAR lag selection, Wald causality tests, diagnostic analysis, and forecast evaluation to examine long-run equilibrium, short-run dynamics, and exchange rate predictability.

  • Updated Jul 3, 2026

This project verifies my (WIP) A Topological Framework of Claims and Resources. A track is an ABM verifying framework's diagnosis on economic phenomena, whether the stated mechanisms could indeed produce the results. B track is focused on examining the non-integrability of the cost-field in real life across different fields and carriers.

  • Updated Aug 29, 2026
  • Python

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